Sam's Scores

2026 Week 1

49 games — predicted scores and win probability from the active model.

North Carolina @ TCU
Likely
North Carolina20.2
TCU34.3
Actual: North Carolina 15 – TCU 10
82% home
Neutral site
San José State @ USC
Confident
San José State13.2
USC39.9
Actual: San José State 26 – USC 42
95% home
NC State @ Virginia
Toss-up
NC State23.6
Virginia27.2
Actual: NC State 8 – Virginia 34
59% home
Hawai'i @ Stanford
Lean
Hawai'i21.4
Stanford27.7
Actual: Hawai'i 27 – Stanford 37
66% home
New Mexico State @ Florida State
Confident
New Mexico State15.0
Florida State39.2
Actual: New Mexico State 17 – Florida State 34
94% home
Memphis @ UNLV
Toss-up
Memphis28.6
UNLV29.6
Actual: Memphis 27 – UNLV 21
52% home
Massachusetts @ Rutgers
Confident
Massachusetts14.1
Rutgers40.0
95% home
Akron @ Wake Forest
Confident
Akron14.7
Wake Forest36.9
92% home
Colorado @ Georgia Tech
Likely
Colorado21.9
Georgia Tech30.9
71% home
UAB @ Illinois
Confident
UAB15.7
Illinois37.1
92% home
San José State @ Eastern Michigan
Lean
San José State25.7
Eastern Michigan29.7
60% home
UTEP @ Oklahoma
Confident
UTEP9.6
Oklahoma37.8
97% home
Toledo @ Michigan State
Toss-up
Toledo23.8
Michigan State26.6
57% home
Miami @ Stanford
Confident
Miami33.9
Stanford16.7
13% home
Fresno State @ USC
Confident
Fresno State16.2
USC34.9
88% home
Oregon State @ Houston
Confident
Oregon State17.5
Houston34.7
86% home
East Carolina @ Alabama
Confident
East Carolina15.7
Alabama37.0
91% home
Miami (OH) @ Pittsburgh
Likely
Miami (OH)17.0
Pittsburgh32.1
84% home
Coastal Carolina @ West Virginia
Likely
Coastal Carolina17.3
West Virginia31.7
83% home
North Texas @ Indiana
Confident
North Texas16.3
Indiana41.2
94% home
Ohio @ Nebraska
Likely
Ohio19.9
Nebraska30.5
75% home
Liberty @ James Madison
Confident
Liberty16.3
James Madison36.2
90% home
Ball State @ Ohio State
Confident
Ball State3.9
Ohio State45.6
100% home
Kent State @ South Carolina
Confident
Kent State12.0
South Carolina39.7
96% home
Marshall @ Penn State
Confident
Marshall15.4
Penn State41.1
95% home
Boise State @ Oregon
Confident
Boise State15.6
Oregon35.2
90% home
Tulane @ Duke
Lean
Tulane24.5
Duke30.5
65% home
Baylor @ Auburn
Lean
Baylor23.9
Auburn28.3
61% home
Neutral site
Boston College @ Cincinnati
Lean
Boston College23.8
Cincinnati31.8
69% home
Texas State @ Texas
Confident
Texas State19.2
Texas37.4
87% home
Oklahoma State @ Tulsa
Lean
Oklahoma State31.0
Tulsa25.6
37% home
Northern Illinois @ Iowa
Confident
Northern Illinois10.9
Iowa37.9
96% home
Wyoming @ Colorado State
Toss-up
Wyoming23.9
Colorado State25.7
54% home
Missouri State @ Texas A&M
Confident
Missouri State13.2
Texas A&M38.9
95% home
Sam Houston @ Troy
Likely
Sam Houston17.6
Troy31.9
82% home
Florida International @ South Florida
Confident
Florida International16.2
South Florida35.9
89% home
Arkansas State @ Memphis
Likely
Arkansas State21.9
Memphis34.7
78% home
Clemson @ LSU
Toss-up
Clemson25.1
LSU27.5
56% home
Western Michigan @ Michigan
Confident
Western Michigan14.2
Michigan34.6
91% home
UL Monroe @ Mississippi State
Confident
UL Monroe14.7
Mississippi State38.1
93% home
Florida Atlantic @ Florida
Confident
Florida Atlantic17.3
Florida35.1
88% home
Central Michigan @ New Mexico
Likely
Central Michigan21.0
New Mexico33.6
79% home
UNLV @ Hawai'i
Toss-up
UNLV27.5
Hawai'i27.5
50% home
UCLA @ California
Toss-up
UCLA25.6
California26.5
52% home
Western Kentucky @ Nevada
Toss-up
Western Kentucky26.3
Nevada25.2
47% home
Washington State @ Washington
Likely
Washington State18.9
Washington30.9
78% home
Wisconsin @ Notre Dame
Confident
Wisconsin14.4
Notre Dame32.2
88% home
Neutral site
Louisville @ Ole Miss
Lean
Louisville24.4
Ole Miss30.7
65% home
Neutral site
SMU @ Florida State
Toss-up
SMU27.5
Florida State26.9
48% home